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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+8.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.71vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.76+7.63vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.35+3.73vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.22+7.92vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+5.16vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.50vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09+0.77vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.24+3.85vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.36+2.42vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-0.76vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.500.00vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-3.11vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-4.68vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.55-3.51vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-5.38vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.38-9.49vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University2.05-4.12vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.63vs Predicted
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20Tufts University2.91-10.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.11Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.73Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.92University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.16Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.77College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.85University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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12.42Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.24Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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12.0Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.89University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.49Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.51Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.88Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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12.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.87Tufts University2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 14.0% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Riley Legault | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% |
| Paris Henken | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% |
| Amina Brown | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Emma White | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Martina Sly | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 17.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.