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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.70vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.10vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.22+10.08vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+8.50vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+4.08vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.50+5.87vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.03vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84+1.87vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99+0.32vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-0.49vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-3.12vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-0.69vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.05+1.18vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.55-2.60vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-4.51vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.09-7.04vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.91-7.40vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.24-4.96vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.38-11.42vs Predicted
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20Roger Williams University2.36-7.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.7University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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12.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.08Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.87Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.87Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.32Dartmouth College2.990.0%1st Place
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9.51University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.88Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.31Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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14.18Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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11.4Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.49George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.96College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.04University of South Florida2.240.0%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.51Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 14.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 12.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.5% |
| Emma White | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Amina Brown | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Allyson Donahue | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 18.8% |
| Martina Sly | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% |
| Riley Legault | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Paris Henken | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% |
| Alison Knoles | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.1% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.