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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.38+6.49vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+6.76vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.36+9.06vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.38vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.22+7.85vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.76+4.07vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.55+4.12vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.65+2.95vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-3.45vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.91-0.59vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.20vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-4.19vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.96-4.06vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-3.11vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-5.29vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.99-6.97vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.50-5.66vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.03vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University2.05-6.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.49Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.76College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.06Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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10.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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12.85University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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10.07George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.12Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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5.55University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.8Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.81Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.71Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.03Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.34Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.87Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Paris Henken | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 14.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% |
| Martina Sly | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Taylor Gavula | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 15.0% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.7% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.