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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+6.45vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.22+10.48vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+6.21vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.64vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+5.37vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+2.59vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-1.42vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.05+5.36vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.84+0.53vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.16vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.30vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.91-2.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-1.28vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-4.87vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.55-4.13vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-5.55vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.36-5.21vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.38-10.80vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College1.98-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.45Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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12.48University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.21University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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10.64Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.37George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.59College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.58University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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13.36Northeastern University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.53Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.7Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.77Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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11.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.13Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.87Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.45Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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11.79Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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13.04Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allyson Donahue | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 14.4% |
| Amina Brown | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
| Riley Legault | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Paris Henken | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Victoria McGruer | 2.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 18.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% |
| Emma White | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Martina Sly | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.