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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.23+10.51vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.55+8.12vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+3.62vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+2.68vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+4.23vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+3.30vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.50+2.08vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.58+0.87vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.43+0.64vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.20-3.69vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-1.44vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.54-2.48vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-5.58vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-4.05vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.79-2.54vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.27vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-6.16vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.82-5.78vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.51Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.12College of Charleston2.550.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.23University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.08Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.87Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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7.31Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.52Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.95George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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13.46Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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11.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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13.22Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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18.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 1.3% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.1% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 5.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 11.6% | 4.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 2.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 4.6% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.