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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+6.21vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+7.30vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+7.47vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+2.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.58+4.89vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.27vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+4.29vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.43vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+0.85vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.48vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.62vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.54-1.64vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.23-1.05vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-0.58vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston2.55-4.89vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.90-7.57vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.24vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.27vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.82-5.77vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.3University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.47Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.72Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.89Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.27Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.29George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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9.85University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.38Connecticut College2.490.1%1st Place
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10.36Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.95Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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13.42Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.11College of Charleston2.550.1%1st Place
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8.43Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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13.23Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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18.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 2.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Allison Cahn | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 6.1% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 4.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 14.2% | 4.6% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 8.9% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.