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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+9.29vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.66vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+8.62vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.24vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+4.17vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.55+4.21vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+3.31vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+5.23vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54+1.11vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-2.81vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.56vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.90-3.30vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-6.20vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.58-4.12vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.35-4.05vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.30vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-4.23vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.82-4.56vs Predicted
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19University of Pennsylvania2.43-8.37vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.29Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.66Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.62Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.24Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.17University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.21College of Charleston2.550.0%1st Place
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10.31University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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13.23Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.11Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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7.19Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.95George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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12.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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13.44Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.63University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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18.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 2.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Allison Cahn | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 5.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 3.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 5.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 8.2% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.