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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+5.65vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+8.30vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.49+7.54vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+7.74vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+6.52vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.55+4.16vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+4.31vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90+0.26vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-1.86vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.54+0.16vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-4.31vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.43-1.07vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-2.70vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.58-4.12vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-2.19vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-2.74vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.73-7.91vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.79-4.48vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.20-11.89vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.52Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.16College of Charleston2.550.0%1st Place
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11.31George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.26Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.14Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.16Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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6.69University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.93University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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10.3University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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13.26Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.09University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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13.52Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.11Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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18.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 3.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 3.7% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 1.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 12.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 3.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 5.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 15.5% | 5.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 9.2% | 72.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.