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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+7.45vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.54+8.13vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.58+7.07vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+5.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+2.17vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.25vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.35+4.29vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.23+3.36vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.50+1.14vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.37vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.55-0.82vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.15vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.33-5.99vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.79-0.62vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-8.43vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.25vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.48vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.73-8.66vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.82-5.76vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.45Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.17Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.29George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.36Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.18College of Charleston2.550.1%1st Place
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13.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.38Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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6.57University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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13.24Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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18.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 1.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 3.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 13.3% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.2% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 2.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 4.4% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.