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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.20+6.19vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.22vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.58+7.11vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+2.61vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.33+1.64vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.73+3.34vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.55+3.42vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.49vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90-0.64vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.36vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.50-0.65vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.35-0.77vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.58-2.72vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-2.45vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.54-4.87vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-2.75vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.51vs Predicted
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18Boston University1.79-4.48vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.20vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.19Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.61University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.64Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.34University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.42College of Charleston2.550.0%1st Place
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11.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.36Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.35Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.23George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.55Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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13.25Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.49University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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13.52Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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18.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.8% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 1.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 1.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 5.2% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.2% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 16.2% | 5.2% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 3.4% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 73.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.