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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.55+9.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.21vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+3.82vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+7.77vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.58+4.07vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.54+3.47vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+4.70vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58+0.88vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.49+0.39vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.73-1.68vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-4.62vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79+0.79vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.35-3.10vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-3.49vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.50-5.76vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.49vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.82-4.55vs Predicted
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19Stanford University2.90-10.55vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04College of Charleston2.550.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.07Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.47Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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12.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.88University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.39Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.32University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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7.38Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.79Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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10.9George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.51Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.24Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.51University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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13.45Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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18.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 3.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Christine Moloney | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Allison Cahn | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 6.2% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 1.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 1.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 1.2% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 14.6% | 4.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 72.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.