← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.33+5.68vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.20+5.19vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.58+7.10vs Predicted
-
4University of South Florida2.73+5.29vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.51vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.49+4.49vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.58+3.26vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.23+3.30vs Predicted
-
9George Washington University2.35+1.88vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University1.82+3.39vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.20-3.75vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.55-1.73vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University2.50-2.31vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.90-5.62vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.43-4.38vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-4.30vs Predicted
-
17Boston University1.79-3.70vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College2.54-7.76vs Predicted
-
19Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-6.20vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.68Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.19Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.1Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
-
9.29University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
6.51University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.49Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.26University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
11.3Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
10.88George Washington University2.350.0%1st Place
-
13.39Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
7.25Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
10.27College of Charleston2.550.1%1st Place
-
10.69Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.38Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
10.62University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
-
11.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
13.3Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
-
10.24Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
-
12.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
18.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.3% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 10.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.1% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.8% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 1.9% |
| Aitana Mendiguren | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 5.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 5.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 3.1% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 7.7% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.