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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+10.57vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+6.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.58+6.93vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.49+6.23vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+2.07vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida2.73+3.22vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+6.18vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.55+1.82vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.54+0.87vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.10+2.07vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.66+2.92vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.58-1.85vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.33-6.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08+4.62vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-8.48vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.20-8.79vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.50-6.90vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.40vs Predicted
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19Northeastern University1.82-5.89vs Predicted
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20Tufts University2.23-8.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.32Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.93Roger Williams University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.23Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.07Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.22University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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13.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.82College of Charleston2.550.0%1st Place
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9.87Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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12.07Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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13.92George Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.15University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.89Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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18.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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6.52University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.1Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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13.11Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 2.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 4.5% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Anna Weis | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 17.1% | 7.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 70.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 4.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.