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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.04vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+10.86vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+6.97vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.54+6.00vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.66+8.83vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+5.59vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+1.70vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+2.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08+9.65vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.58-0.17vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.55-0.98vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.10+0.24vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-6.26vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.50-3.86vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.33-8.32vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-2.86vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.20-9.99vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.33vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida2.73-9.93vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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10.0Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
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13.83George Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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11.59Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.09Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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18.65U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
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9.83Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.02College of Charleston2.550.1%1st Place
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12.24Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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6.74University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.14Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.68Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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13.14Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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9.07University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 4.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Alexander | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 6.6% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 8.7% | 71.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Anna Weis | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 4.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.