← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.33+5.62vs Predicted
-
2Boston College3.20+5.11vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.73+6.37vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+7.60vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.54+5.05vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University2.58+3.93vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont2.58+3.19vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.90+0.21vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+3.74vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.49+0.29vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.82+2.24vs Predicted
-
12College of Charleston2.55-1.79vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University1.66+1.23vs Predicted
-
14Boston University2.10-2.05vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.50-4.81vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island3.37-9.52vs Predicted
-
17Tufts University2.23-5.69vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.36vs Predicted
-
19Brown University3.20-11.97vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.62Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
7.11Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.37University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
11.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
-
10.05Dartmouth College2.540.0%1st Place
-
9.93Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.19University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
-
8.21Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
12.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
-
10.29Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
13.24Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
-
10.21College of Charleston2.550.0%1st Place
-
14.23George Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
-
11.95Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
-
10.19Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
-
6.48University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
11.31Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
-
10.64University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
-
7.03Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
18.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 2.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 3.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 4.1% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Alexander | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 8.9% |
| Anna Weis | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.