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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.73+8.18vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+9.47vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.58+6.95vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+6.26vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.66+8.84vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.19vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58+3.22vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.45vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.33-2.51vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.10+2.06vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.54-0.81vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.04vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-5.54vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-5.64vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-4.76vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.82-2.84vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.43-6.65vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.37-11.50vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston2.55-9.04vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.18University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.47Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.95Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.84George Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.19Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.22University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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6.49Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.06Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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10.19Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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13.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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7.46Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.36Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.24Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.16Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.35University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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6.5University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.96College of Charleston2.550.1%1st Place
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18.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Streater | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 1.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Alexander | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 4.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 1.8% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anna Weis | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 3.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 5.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.2% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 73.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.