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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+10.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.23+9.29vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston2.55+6.98vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+2.48vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+3.93vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.58+3.78vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.90+1.49vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.20-1.18vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.73+4.39vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-0.33vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-3.94vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.54-1.95vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+0.02vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.37-7.73vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-5.00vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.66-2.31vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.82-4.08vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.54vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.10-7.26vs Predicted
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20U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.08-1.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.39Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.29Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.98College of Charleston2.550.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.93University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.49Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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13.39Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.05Dartmouth College2.540.1%1st Place
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13.02Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.27University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.0Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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13.69George Washington University1.660.0%1st Place
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12.92Northeastern University1.820.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
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11.74Boston University2.100.0%1st Place
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18.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Farrell | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 1.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Kelly-Ann Arrindell | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Maia Agerup | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 14.4% | 4.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Kilvert | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 5.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 11.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Alexander | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 7.0% |
| Carolyn Corbet | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 12.2% | 4.6% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Anna Weis | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 1.7% |
| Rebecca Edmonds | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 10.7% | 70.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.