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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.93+0.39vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.02+0.83vs Predicted
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3Hope College0.28-0.37vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.97-0.15vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.69-0.44vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-3.43-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39Northwestern University1.930.7%1st Place
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2.83Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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2.63Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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3.85Indiana University-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.56Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.74Indiana University-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryder Easterlin | 70.6% | 21.2% | 7.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 10.2% | 29.4% | 34.1% | 20.0% | 5.8% | 0.5% |
| Libby Reeg | 14.1% | 33.2% | 32.3% | 17.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Brian Ritter | 3.6% | 9.5% | 18.6% | 37.8% | 27.9% | 2.6% |
| Emily Allen | 1.4% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 21.3% | 51.2% | 13.7% |
| Benjamin Foster | 0.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 3.1% | 12.0% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.