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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.93+0.40vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.02+0.85vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-0.97+0.81vs Predicted
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4Hope College0.28-1.37vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.69-0.44vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-3.43-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.4Northwestern University1.930.7%1st Place
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2.85Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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3.81Indiana University-0.970.0%1st Place
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2.63Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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4.56Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.75Indiana University-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryder Easterlin | 70.2% | 21.1% | 7.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| David Mirkhaef | 10.0% | 28.6% | 34.8% | 19.7% | 6.4% | 0.5% |
| Brian Ritter | 4.9% | 9.8% | 17.4% | 38.1% | 27.1% | 2.7% |
| Libby Reeg | 13.4% | 34.2% | 32.4% | 16.5% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Emily Allen | 1.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 21.3% | 51.8% | 13.3% |
| Benjamin Foster | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 11.3% | 83.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.