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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.93+0.39vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.28+0.60vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.02-0.17vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.97-0.14vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-1.69-0.43vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-3.43-0.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39Northwestern University1.930.7%1st Place
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2.6Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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2.83Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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3.86Indiana University-0.970.0%1st Place
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4.57Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
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5.74Indiana University-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryder Easterlin | 69.7% | 22.2% | 7.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 14.0% | 35.5% | 32.2% | 13.7% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| David Mirkhaef | 11.5% | 26.9% | 33.2% | 23.9% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Brian Ritter | 3.3% | 9.2% | 18.7% | 38.1% | 28.1% | 2.6% |
| Emily Allen | 1.4% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 20.5% | 51.6% | 13.7% |
| Benjamin Foster | 0.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 12.0% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.