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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.93+0.39vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.28+0.59vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.02-0.15vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-0.97-0.11vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-3.43+0.73vs Predicted
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6Purdue University-1.69-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.39Northwestern University1.930.7%1st Place
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2.59Hope College0.280.1%1st Place
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2.85Purdue University0.020.1%1st Place
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3.89Indiana University-0.970.0%1st Place
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5.73Indiana University-3.430.0%1st Place
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4.55Purdue University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryder Easterlin | 69.6% | 22.8% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 14.1% | 36.2% | 30.8% | 14.9% | 3.9% | 0.1% |
| David Mirkhaef | 11.3% | 27.1% | 34.2% | 20.7% | 6.2% | 0.5% |
| Brian Ritter | 3.3% | 9.4% | 17.5% | 38.2% | 27.8% | 3.8% |
| Benjamin Foster | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 83.9% |
| Emily Allen | 1.4% | 4.0% | 9.3% | 20.7% | 52.9% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.