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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.93+0.25vs Predicted
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2Hope College0.28+0.11vs Predicted
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3Indiana University-0.97-0.09vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-3.06+0.50vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-4.12+0.41vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-3.43-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.25Northwestern University1.930.8%1st Place
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2.11Hope College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.91Indiana University-0.970.1%1st Place
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4.5Purdue University-3.060.0%1st Place
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5.41Purdue University-4.120.0%1st Place
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4.83Indiana University-3.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryder Easterlin | 77.7% | 19.7% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Libby Reeg | 16.5% | 58.8% | 21.7% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Ritter | 5.2% | 17.9% | 60.0% | 14.7% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Austin Lowell | 0.3% | 2.0% | 8.8% | 39.8% | 34.9% | 14.2% |
| Kendall Mason | 0.2% | 0.3% | 2.7% | 13.4% | 22.4% | 61.0% |
| Benjamin Foster | 0.1% | 1.3% | 4.3% | 29.0% | 40.7% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.