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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.99+1.66vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University-0.83+0.35vs Predicted
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3Purdue University-0.71-0.75vs Predicted
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4Indiana University-1.96-0.26vs Predicted
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5Purdue University-2.78-0.28vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-3.38-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.66Hope College-0.990.2%1st Place
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2.35Northwestern University-0.830.3%1st Place
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2.25Purdue University-0.710.3%1st Place
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3.74Indiana University-1.960.1%1st Place
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4.72Purdue University-2.780.0%1st Place
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5.28Indiana University-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Ritter | 22.2% | 25.0% | 27.3% | 17.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 31.8% | 26.3% | 22.8% | 13.7% | 4.6% | 0.8% |
| Anshul Davda | 33.1% | 29.2% | 21.7% | 12.3% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Andreas Bugle | 8.5% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 31.2% | 24.2% | 7.5% |
| Nicholas Heppner-Lundin | 2.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 16.0% | 36.8% | 31.4% |
| Jonah Simon | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 9.1% | 25.4% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.