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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hope College-0.99+1.62vs Predicted
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2Purdue University-0.71+0.25vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University-0.83-0.65vs Predicted
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4Purdue University-2.78+0.65vs Predicted
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5Indiana University-1.96-1.14vs Predicted
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6Indiana University-3.38-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.62Hope College-0.990.2%1st Place
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2.25Purdue University-0.710.4%1st Place
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2.35Northwestern University-0.830.3%1st Place
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4.65Purdue University-2.780.0%1st Place
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3.86Indiana University-1.960.1%1st Place
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5.27Indiana University-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Ritter | 22.0% | 27.9% | 25.6% | 16.3% | 6.6% | 1.6% |
| Anshul Davda | 35.4% | 25.3% | 23.2% | 11.2% | 4.5% | 0.4% |
| Guilherme Vendemiatti | 30.1% | 27.7% | 24.0% | 14.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Heppner-Lundin | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 19.0% | 36.9% | 28.4% |
| Andreas Bugle | 7.4% | 10.3% | 17.6% | 29.5% | 24.4% | 10.8% |
| Jonah Simon | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 9.8% | 24.3% | 58.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.