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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.63vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.80+1.47vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.34+0.22vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.37-1.81vs Predicted
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8American University-0.75-2.23vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland-0.33-3.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63U. S. Naval Academy2.420.6%1st Place
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3.47Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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3.65Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Virginia0.340.1%1st Place
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4.19William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.77American University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 59.6% | 25.2% | 10.0% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Sunkler | 11.4% | 20.2% | 21.1% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 8.9% | 3.6% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 9.4% | 19.6% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Ian Palmer | 6.9% | 11.6% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 8.8% |
| Connor Chapin | 6.1% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 19.6% | 18.2% | 16.1% | 9.9% |
| Dylan Brady | 2.5% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 47.9% |
| Jacob Stoner | 4.1% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 17.2% | 26.0% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.