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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.62vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.37+2.11vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.80+0.52vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.34+0.25vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.72-1.33vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.33-0.82vs Predicted
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7American University-0.75-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62U. S. Naval Academy2.420.6%1st Place
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4.11William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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3.52Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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4.25University of Virginia0.340.1%1st Place
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3.67Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.65American University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 58.8% | 27.1% | 9.2% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 7.3% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 20.3% | 19.7% | 14.8% | 8.6% |
| William Sunkler | 10.1% | 20.9% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 17.0% | 8.3% | 3.5% |
| Ian Palmer | 7.0% | 11.6% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 20.1% | 18.2% | 9.7% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 9.7% | 18.6% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 12.4% | 4.6% |
| Jacob Stoner | 4.0% | 5.3% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 24.8% | 28.1% |
| Dylan Brady | 3.1% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 21.0% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.