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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.64vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+1.57vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia0.34+1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland-0.33+0.26vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.80-2.43vs Predicted
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7William and Mary0.37-2.86vs Predicted
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9American University-0.75-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64U. S. Naval Academy2.420.6%1st Place
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3.57Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.22University of Virginia0.340.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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3.57Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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4.14William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.61American University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 59.5% | 24.6% | 10.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 10.8% | 18.1% | 20.2% | 21.6% | 16.5% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Ian Palmer | 6.8% | 11.5% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 20.1% | 15.9% | 9.9% |
| Jacob Stoner | 1.9% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 15.7% | 26.3% | 28.7% |
| William Sunkler | 10.4% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| Connor Chapin | 7.6% | 13.6% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 8.4% |
| Dylan Brady | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 20.7% | 44.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.