Race 4A

jeremy-pinkerton

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
James Morgan 59.9% 23.8% 11.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Ian Palmer 6.7% 12.4% 15.3% 19.7% 19.9% 16.4% 9.6%
Frederick Piasecki 9.6% 18.0% 22.6% 18.3% 16.0% 11.0% 4.5%
Jacob Stoner 1.6% 6.8% 8.6% 13.3% 14.5% 27.0% 28.2%
William Sunkler 10.6% 21.5% 19.0% 20.2% 14.6% 10.2% 3.9%
Dylan Brady 2.7% 3.2% 6.7% 7.9% 12.9% 19.9% 46.7%
Connor Chapin 8.9% 14.3% 16.4% 16.9% 21.2% 15.2% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.