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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.64vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+1.59vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.37+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.34+0.24vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80-1.45vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.33-0.84vs Predicted
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8American University-0.75-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.64U. S. Naval Academy2.420.6%1st Place
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3.59Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.18William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Virginia0.340.1%1st Place
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3.55Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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5.16University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.64American University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 58.4% | 25.8% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 10.5% | 18.4% | 20.6% | 20.6% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 4.3% |
| Connor Chapin | 7.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 17.7% | 8.7% |
| Ian Palmer | 6.6% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 9.8% |
| William Sunkler | 10.2% | 21.1% | 20.7% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 10.0% | 4.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 4.2% | 5.0% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 16.8% | 24.4% | 27.5% |
| Dylan Brady | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.1% | 19.7% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.