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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.63vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+1.60vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80-0.47vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia0.34-0.77vs Predicted
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6William and Mary0.37-1.81vs Predicted
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7American University-0.75-1.24vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.33-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.63U. S. Naval Academy2.420.6%1st Place
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3.6Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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3.53Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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4.23University of Virginia0.340.1%1st Place
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4.19William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.76American University-0.750.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 59.4% | 25.5% | 9.9% | 4.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 10.4% | 19.0% | 19.5% | 21.2% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 4.5% |
| William Sunkler | 10.3% | 20.3% | 21.8% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 9.9% | 3.8% |
| Ian Palmer | 6.9% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 17.5% | 20.1% | 18.3% | 8.9% |
| Connor Chapin | 6.3% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 19.0% | 19.0% | 16.0% | 9.9% |
| Dylan Brady | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 20.0% | 47.7% |
| Jacob Stoner | 4.1% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 25.6% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.