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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.42+0.62vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.80+1.49vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.72+0.65vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia0.34+0.24vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.37-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.33-1.83vs Predicted
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9American University-0.75-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.62U. S. Naval Academy2.420.6%1st Place
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3.49Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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3.65Drexel University0.720.1%1st Place
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4.24University of Virginia0.340.1%1st Place
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4.18William and Mary0.370.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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5.65American University-0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Morgan | 59.4% | 25.8% | 9.6% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Sunkler | 11.3% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 9.4% | 19.7% | 19.3% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 9.8% | 4.8% |
| Ian Palmer | 6.8% | 11.6% | 16.7% | 17.4% | 19.8% | 18.7% | 9.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 6.2% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 18.3% | 18.7% | 17.2% | 8.9% |
| Jacob Stoner | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 25.0% | 27.5% |
| Dylan Brady | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 19.8% | 46.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.