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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.60+0.91vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.19+2.13vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87-0.31vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland-0.37+0.44vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.69-0.15vs Predicted
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7American University-2.55-0.40vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.23-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91U. S. Naval Academy1.600.5%1st Place
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4.13Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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2.69William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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4.44University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.85University of Virginia-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.6American University-2.550.0%1st Place
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3.38Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Nora | 47.0% | 27.4% | 16.4% | 6.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Barrett Adams | 7.3% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 23.2% | 21.6% | 19.1% | 3.8% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 21.9% | 27.4% | 25.3% | 13.7% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 5.4% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 25.5% | 24.6% | 5.3% |
| Jessica Anderson | 3.8% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 15.2% | 21.2% | 33.7% | 10.2% |
| Andrew Fallone | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 5.3% | 10.8% | 79.2% |
| Andrew Vernon | 14.2% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 22.5% | 16.1% | 8.1% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.