← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Western Michigan University-0.69+1.12vs Predicted
-
2Western Michigan University-1.19+0.60vs Predicted
-
3Western Michigan University-0.65-0.91vs Predicted
-
4Saginaw Valley State University-2.68+0.04vs Predicted
-
5Michigan State University-2.80-0.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.12Western Michigan University-0.6933.8%1st Place
-
2.6Western Michigan University-1.1920.2%1st Place
-
2.09Western Michigan University-0.6536.6%1st Place
-
4.04Saginaw Valley State University-2.685.4%1st Place
-
4.14Michigan State University-2.804.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Scherf | 33.8% | 31.4% | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.1% |
| Grace VanStratt | 20.2% | 26.5% | 30.7% | 18.2% | 4.3% |
| Sebastian Roudabush | 36.6% | 29.2% | 24.2% | 8.1% | 1.8% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 34.2% | 43.5% |
| AUSTIN SJAARDA | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 30.5% | 49.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.