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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.60+0.90vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.23+1.53vs Predicted
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3William and Mary0.87-0.31vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.19+0.17vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia-0.69-0.17vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland-0.37-2.63vs Predicted
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8American University-2.55-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9U. S. Naval Academy1.600.5%1st Place
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3.53Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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2.69William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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4.17Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.83University of Virginia-0.690.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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6.52American University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Nora | 48.6% | 27.4% | 14.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Vernon | 11.3% | 17.0% | 20.6% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 8.9% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 21.0% | 30.2% | 22.5% | 14.8% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Barrett Adams | 7.2% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 20.1% | 22.4% | 19.8% | 4.2% |
| Jessica Anderson | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 15.4% | 21.0% | 32.8% | 10.5% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 6.9% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 17.7% | 22.4% | 25.1% | 5.1% |
| Andrew Fallone | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 9.7% | 77.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.