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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.60+0.86vs Predicted
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2William and Mary0.87+0.66vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.23+0.58vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.19+0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.37-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.69-2.21vs Predicted
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9American University-2.55-2.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86U. S. Naval Academy1.600.5%1st Place
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2.66William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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3.58Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.18Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.79University of Virginia-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.52American University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Nora | 49.8% | 26.8% | 14.2% | 6.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 22.4% | 28.7% | 24.1% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 10.2% | 16.4% | 21.3% | 23.4% | 17.1% | 9.3% | 2.3% |
| Barrett Adams | 6.7% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 19.3% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 4.2% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 5.6% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 18.8% | 21.7% | 24.4% | 6.4% |
| Jessica Anderson | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 33.0% | 9.5% |
| Andrew Fallone | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 77.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.