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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1William and Mary0.87+1.68vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.60-0.12vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.23+0.56vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.19+0.17vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland-0.37-1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.69-2.20vs Predicted
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9American University-2.55-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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1.88U. S. Naval Academy1.600.5%1st Place
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3.56Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.17Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Maryland-0.370.1%1st Place
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4.8University of Virginia-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.51American University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mazzeo | 24.7% | 26.4% | 21.0% | 16.1% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Spencer Nora | 46.8% | 31.0% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 10.6% | 15.4% | 23.9% | 20.8% | 18.0% | 9.0% | 2.3% |
| Barrett Adams | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 19.2% | 23.5% | 19.6% | 4.3% |
| Madeline Mulligan | 5.7% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 21.4% | 24.3% | 6.5% |
| Jessica Anderson | 4.4% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 21.1% | 33.2% | 9.5% |
| Andrew Fallone | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 10.4% | 77.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.