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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.03vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.80+1.01vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.23+0.85vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.19+0.46vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.87-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.69-0.97vs Predicted
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8American University-2.55-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.03U. S. Naval Academy1.600.4%1st Place
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3.01University of Maryland0.800.2%1st Place
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3.85Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.46Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.03William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Virginia-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.59American University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Nora | 44.3% | 26.1% | 16.7% | 8.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cole Daitch | 18.0% | 22.8% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Vernon | 9.3% | 12.4% | 18.1% | 22.1% | 23.3% | 12.1% | 2.7% |
| Barrett Adams | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 16.9% | 25.2% | 26.1% | 5.3% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 17.8% | 24.3% | 20.5% | 18.9% | 12.5% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Jessica Anderson | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 40.7% | 10.7% |
| Andrew Fallone | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 10.1% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.