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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.60+1.05vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland0.80+1.02vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.19+1.43vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.23-0.17vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.87-1.97vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia-0.69-0.97vs Predicted
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7American University-2.55-0.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05U. S. Naval Academy1.600.4%1st Place
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3.02University of Maryland0.800.2%1st Place
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4.43Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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3.83Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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3.03William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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5.03University of Virginia-0.690.0%1st Place
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6.6American University-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Nora | 44.0% | 24.5% | 18.8% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Cole Daitch | 17.6% | 23.5% | 21.1% | 20.8% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Barrett Adams | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 25.4% | 25.0% | 5.2% |
| Andrew Vernon | 10.1% | 13.3% | 16.8% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 14.6% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 17.2% | 24.3% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Jessica Anderson | 4.2% | 4.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 22.8% | 38.4% | 11.3% |
| Andrew Fallone | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 10.1% | 80.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.