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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Virginia-0.69+2.21vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy1.60-1.23vs Predicted
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4American University-2.55+1.63vs Predicted
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5William and Mary0.87-2.55vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.23-2.74vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.19-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21University of Virginia-0.690.0%1st Place
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1.77U. S. Naval Academy1.600.5%1st Place
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5.63American University-2.550.0%1st Place
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2.45William and Mary0.870.2%1st Place
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3.26Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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3.68Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jessica Anderson | 4.7% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 22.6% | 40.7% | 11.3% |
| Spencer Nora | 50.5% | 29.5% | 13.2% | 6.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Fallone | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 81.1% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 23.8% | 31.5% | 25.7% | 14.0% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Vernon | 12.1% | 17.1% | 26.7% | 24.0% | 17.3% | 2.8% |
| Barrett Adams | 7.9% | 12.7% | 19.0% | 29.0% | 26.9% | 4.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.