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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+1.06vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.37+1.73vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.21+1.01vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.230.00vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.11-0.84vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.86-0.27vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.44-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-2.00-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.06University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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3.73University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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4.01Michigan State University0.210.1%1st Place
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4.0Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.16University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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5.73Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.14University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 44.7% | 25.5% | 16.5% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 12.5% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Miranda Madden | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 16.6% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Susan Riley | 11.4% | 15.4% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 17.9% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 1.9% |
| Hannah Thayer | 10.2% | 12.9% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 10.3% | 2.6% |
| Learon McGinn | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 28.2% | 17.9% |
| Maya Smith | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 21.1% | 21.2% | 9.0% |
| Carla Marzari | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 16.5% | 64.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.