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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+1.07vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.23+1.97vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.37+0.74vs Predicted
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4Marquette University-0.86+1.77vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.11-0.83vs Predicted
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6Michigan State University0.21-2.03vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.44-1.87vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-2.00-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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3.97Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.74University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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5.77Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.17University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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3.97Michigan State University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 43.3% | 28.3% | 14.6% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 10.9% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 7.7% | 1.9% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 13.6% | 15.2% | 19.6% | 15.9% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Learon McGinn | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 17.1% | 28.6% | 18.5% |
| Hannah Thayer | 9.7% | 12.6% | 17.0% | 14.8% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Miranda Madden | 12.1% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 2.1% |
| Maya Smith | 5.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 20.7% | 22.0% | 8.4% |
| Carla Marzari | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 15.9% | 65.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.