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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+1.07vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame0.37+1.75vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.23+1.01vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.21+0.02vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.44+0.07vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.86-0.30vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.11-2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-2.00-0.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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3.75University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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4.01Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.02Michigan State University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.07University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.7Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.2University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 43.9% | 26.3% | 17.0% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 12.0% | 18.5% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 1.3% |
| Susan Riley | 11.1% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 2.5% |
| Miranda Madden | 11.2% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 14.2% | 8.7% | 2.2% |
| Maya Smith | 5.6% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 20.2% | 21.3% | 7.4% |
| Learon McGinn | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 28.1% | 17.8% |
| Hannah Thayer | 10.8% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 2.9% |
| Carla Marzari | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 15.1% | 65.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.