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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.56+1.02vs Predicted
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2Michigan State University0.21+2.01vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University0.23+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame0.37-0.21vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota-0.44+0.06vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.86-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan0.11-2.79vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-2.00-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Wisconsin1.560.5%1st Place
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4.01Michigan State University0.210.1%1st Place
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4.01Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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3.79University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.71Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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4.21University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Keck | 45.1% | 27.0% | 15.5% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Miranda Madden | 10.1% | 15.8% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 2.1% |
| Susan Riley | 10.9% | 15.7% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 7.9% | 2.4% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 12.4% | 16.7% | 17.5% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Maya Smith | 5.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 21.3% | 20.7% | 7.4% |
| Learon McGinn | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 28.6% | 17.6% |
| Hannah Thayer | 10.6% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 2.9% |
| Carla Marzari | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 15.3% | 66.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.