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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy3.79+4.56vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.16+6.36vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.83+7.17vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.05+0.85vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.23+3.23vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.75+9.62vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara3.26+1.08vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.88+6.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles1.72+6.63vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego2.19+3.48vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz1.99+2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon2.76-2.46vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.81-3.83vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University2.21-1.78vs Predicted
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16University of California at Berkeley1.18+1.97vs Predicted
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17University of Washington0.34+4.21vs Predicted
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18University of California at Berkeley2.12-4.28vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.71+1.24vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay2.30-7.84vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis1.48-3.96vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon1.22-3.48vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis0.92-3.91vs Predicted
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24University of Texas2.50-12.42vs Predicted
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25University of California at Los Angeles2.63-14.09vs Predicted
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26University of Hawaii2.92-16.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.56California Poly Maritime Academy3.790.1%1st Place
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8.36University of Southern California3.160.1%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Irvine2.830.1%1st Place
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4.85Stanford University4.050.2%1st Place
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8.23Stanford University3.230.1%1st Place
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15.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.750.0%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Santa Barbara3.260.1%1st Place
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14.96Western Washington University1.880.0%1st Place
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15.63University of California at Los Angeles1.720.0%1st Place
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13.48University of California at San Diego2.190.0%1st Place
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14.3University of California at Santa Cruz1.990.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Oregon2.760.0%1st Place
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10.17University of Washington2.810.0%1st Place
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13.22Western Washington University2.210.0%1st Place
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17.97University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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21.21University of Washington0.340.0%1st Place
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13.72University of California at Berkeley2.120.0%1st Place
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20.24California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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12.16California State University Monterey Bay2.300.0%1st Place
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17.04University of California at Davis1.480.0%1st Place
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18.52University of Oregon1.220.0%1st Place
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19.09University of California at Davis0.920.0%1st Place
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11.58University of Texas2.500.0%1st Place
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10.91University of California at Los Angeles2.630.0%1st Place
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9.39University of Hawaii2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Kelly | 13.8% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Lue | 6.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Porter | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Laube | 16.2% | 14.5% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly McKinney | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Maher | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Ryan Sullivan | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Carmen Bozina | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Eric Alamillo | 3.2% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Cowley | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Elliot Drake | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Darrin | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter McGrath | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Megan Hayes | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% |
| Aaron Scull | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 17.5% | 33.7% |
| Travis Benton | 3.4% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 22.6% |
| Bradley Schoch | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Wilkerson | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Cara Kuhlman | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 9.9% |
| Brittany Hirsch | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 13.5% |
| Scott Proctor | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Oscar Jasklowski | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Zachary Hester | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.