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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.86+2.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.79-0.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.32+0.76vs Predicted
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4Washington College-0.79+2.03vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.97+1.89vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.93+0.84vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-0.93-0.68vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.26-0.69vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.85-1.16vs Predicted
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10St. John's College-2.63-0.01vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.43-2.63vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-2.54-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.8618.2%1st Place
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1.82U. S. Naval Academy1.7950.7%1st Place
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3.76U. S. Naval Academy0.3211.9%1st Place
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6.03Washington College-0.794.0%1st Place
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6.89Princeton University-0.972.8%1st Place
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6.84Drexel University-0.932.3%1st Place
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6.32Unknown School-0.933.2%1st Place
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7.31University of Delaware-1.262.7%1st Place
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7.84Catholic University of America-1.851.3%1st Place
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9.99St. John's College-2.630.8%1st Place
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8.37University of Maryland/Baltimore County-1.431.4%1st Place
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9.82Syracuse University-2.540.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Marynowski | 18.2% | 25.8% | 23.8% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Trudell | 50.7% | 29.0% | 12.0% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Logan Hayes | 11.9% | 17.2% | 20.9% | 17.3% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Imogene Nuss | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 2.6% |
| Luke Plecinoga | 3.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Ethan Deutsch | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% |
| John Anthony Caraig | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% |
| Reagan Bottomley | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 20.8% | 37.5% |
| John TIS | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 16.0% | 11.3% |
| Finn Halstead | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 22.4% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.