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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+1.10vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.23+1.99vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.11+1.18vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.21+0.05vs Predicted
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5Marquette University-0.86+0.79vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.44-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of Toledo-2.00+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame0.37-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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3.99Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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4.05Michigan State University0.210.1%1st Place
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5.79Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.06University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
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3.65University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 42.2% | 28.7% | 13.9% | 10.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Susan Riley | 11.9% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Thayer | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 16.7% | 9.2% | 3.0% |
| Miranda Madden | 11.0% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 13.3% | 9.9% | 1.9% |
| Learon McGinn | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 18.7% | 30.1% | 16.4% |
| Maya Smith | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 21.3% | 8.4% |
| Carla Marzari | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 67.6% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 13.4% | 17.4% | 18.8% | 18.5% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.