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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.51+1.05vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.23+1.98vs Predicted
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3Michigan State University0.21+1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan0.11+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Notre Dame0.37-1.27vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.86-0.29vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota-0.44-1.88vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-2.00-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.05University of Wisconsin1.510.4%1st Place
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3.98Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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4.03Michigan State University0.210.1%1st Place
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4.2University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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3.73University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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5.71Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.12University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrea Sullivan | 44.7% | 26.4% | 15.5% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Susan Riley | 10.8% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 17.9% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| Miranda Madden | 10.8% | 14.1% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 8.1% | 2.5% |
| Hannah Thayer | 9.8% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 9.8% | 2.7% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 13.2% | 16.9% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 12.6% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Learon McGinn | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 27.8% | 17.7% |
| Maya Smith | 5.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 20.6% | 21.2% | 8.8% |
| Carla Marzari | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 17.1% | 65.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.