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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.23+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.56+0.08vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame0.37+0.76vs Predicted
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4Michigan State University0.21+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan0.11-0.81vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota-0.44-0.94vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.86-1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Toledo-2.00-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89Northwestern University0.230.1%1st Place
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2.08University of Wisconsin1.560.4%1st Place
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3.76University of Notre Dame0.370.1%1st Place
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4.04Michigan State University0.210.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Michigan0.110.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Minnesota-0.440.1%1st Place
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5.82Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Toledo-2.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susan Riley | 11.7% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 15.6% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Keck | 42.7% | 27.3% | 16.0% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Leah Peluchiwski | 13.9% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.5% |
| Miranda Madden | 10.9% | 13.7% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.0% | 12.6% | 9.8% | 2.0% |
| Hannah Thayer | 9.5% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 16.3% | 15.1% | 16.9% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Maya Smith | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 19.3% | 9.0% |
| Learon McGinn | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 18.0% | 27.0% | 20.3% |
| Carla Marzari | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 19.0% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.