Race 1A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Shannon 41.7% 26.0% 13.4% 9.7% 5.6% 2.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
George Luber 9.7% 10.6% 15.4% 14.3% 12.9% 13.1% 10.4% 8.4% 3.7% 1.5%
Alexander Baskin 9.7% 11.9% 12.5% 13.7% 15.9% 13.2% 11.3% 7.6% 3.5% 0.7%
Nicholas Memoli 7.0% 10.2% 11.6% 14.4% 14.1% 14.2% 10.8% 9.8% 5.9% 2.0%
James Amaral 16.3% 19.5% 18.4% 15.9% 12.2% 8.0% 5.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2%
George Williams 4.2% 4.4% 5.9% 5.1% 9.2% 11.2% 13.3% 15.3% 17.6% 13.8%
Lillian Vincens 4.6% 6.8% 7.9% 10.9% 11.2% 13.6% 16.2% 13.4% 10.2% 5.2%
William Whelan 3.6% 6.3% 7.8% 8.7% 9.1% 12.2% 13.1% 15.6% 14.9% 8.7%
David Tampellini 1.7% 2.2% 3.0% 3.8% 4.9% 5.6% 9.7% 12.8% 23.2% 33.1%
Griffin Brayer 1.5% 2.1% 4.1% 3.5% 4.9% 6.9% 8.7% 14.1% 19.5% 34.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.