Race 2A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
James Amaral 16.8% 19.7% 17.2% 14.8% 10.8% 9.8% 5.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.2%
Alexander Baskin 9.8% 12.4% 14.7% 13.6% 14.3% 11.9% 10.4% 7.7% 4.0% 1.2%
George Luber 8.9% 11.7% 11.9% 14.6% 15.1% 15.1% 10.4% 7.3% 4.0% 1.0%
Nicholas Memoli 6.6% 10.7% 12.5% 12.5% 15.6% 13.8% 11.2% 9.2% 5.9% 2.0%
William Whelan 5.2% 5.7% 6.3% 7.7% 10.2% 11.0% 14.1% 16.8% 13.9% 9.1%
George Williams 4.2% 4.0% 5.7% 7.2% 9.1% 9.6% 13.6% 15.0% 17.7% 13.9%
Lillian Vincens 4.4% 6.0% 9.3% 10.7% 12.8% 12.4% 14.0% 14.3% 11.3% 4.8%
Griffin Brayer 2.0% 1.6% 3.7% 4.6% 4.3% 7.1% 9.9% 13.1% 21.0% 32.7%
David Tampellini 1.6% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 4.1% 6.5% 10.4% 12.1% 20.7% 35.1%
Sam Shannon 40.5% 25.7% 15.7% 10.3% 3.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.