Race 3A

new-england-dinghy-tournament

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Sam Shannon 40.7% 27.2% 13.9% 9.2% 4.6% 2.2% 1.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Nicholas Memoli 8.8% 7.5% 12.9% 13.4% 12.8% 15.3% 10.8% 10.2% 6.5% 1.8%
James Amaral 16.5% 16.7% 18.8% 15.5% 12.2% 10.0% 6.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Alexander Baskin 8.8% 13.2% 14.0% 15.0% 14.6% 12.6% 10.0% 6.9% 3.7% 1.2%
George Luber 10.2% 12.6% 11.2% 14.9% 14.9% 13.0% 11.3% 7.3% 3.5% 1.1%
Griffin Brayer 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 2.7% 5.4% 6.3% 8.7% 13.5% 21.5% 32.7%
George Williams 2.8% 3.6% 5.6% 6.7% 9.4% 10.1% 14.0% 17.7% 17.0% 13.1%
Lillian Vincens 4.5% 7.4% 9.8% 9.7% 12.2% 11.5% 14.7% 13.4% 11.1% 5.7%
William Whelan 3.8% 6.6% 6.4% 9.5% 9.9% 9.9% 13.6% 16.2% 16.3% 7.8%
David Tampellini 1.4% 2.4% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 9.1% 8.3% 11.7% 19.7% 36.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.